On Friday, US President Donald Trump will likely announce a national emergency within hours because of the Coronavirus.
Between 70 and 150 million people are at risk of contracting the emerging coronavirus in the United States, according to an estimate transmitted to the US Senate.
On Thursday, Democrat Rachida Taleb was speaking during a special force members’ hearing devoted to fighting Covid-19 in the country.
She declared that “the doctor attached to Congress told the Senate that he expected between 70 and 150 million people to be infected with the virus in the United States,” confirming reports reported by US media.
The Axios website quoted two sources as saying that Dr. Brian Munahan had conveyed this expectation to Senate and Republican officials in the Senate on Tuesday, asking them to prepare for the worst.
The most pessimistic hypothesis indicates that 46% of the 327 million Americans will be infected with the virus. By contrast, German Chancellor Angela Merkel has warned that 70% of Germany’s population may be infected with the virus.
The mortality rate is around 1%, according to the latest estimates transmitted Wednesday to Congress Anthony S.Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID).
Based on this percentage, this could mean recording between 700,000 and 1.5 million deaths in the United States. For comparison, heart disease, which is the leading cause of disease deaths in the United States, resulted in 650,000 deaths in 2018, while influenza and pneumonia combined resulted in 60,000 deaths.
The risk of death as a result of developing coronary syndrome is higher among those who have exceeded 60 years, and it is greater in those who have exceeded 80 years and who suffer from other diseases such as diabetes and heart or respiratory diseases, or even those who have weakened immune systems.
Fauci answered a question to Rachida Tlaib about whether he accurately believed this estimate about the numbers of Americans likely to be infected in the future, saying “we have to be careful with this type of estimate because it is based on standard models”.
He added that “the quality of the model depends on the nature of the assumptions that flow from it,” noting that the more pessimistic estimate can be avoided thanks to the work to contain the spread of the epidemic.
He pointed out that the model developed in 2014 by the American Centers for Disease Control and Prevention of the Ebola epidemic, was expecting more than a million people infected, adding that those with the outcome were less than 30 thousand